Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.053793 0.058365 0.062992 0.068017 0.073313 0.078722 0.084656
2025-03-23 0.047562 0.054345 0.061446 0.069407 0.078056 0.087142 0.097381
2025-03-30 0.042473 0.050869 0.059930 0.070374 0.082016 0.094535 0.108954
2025-04-06 0.037680 0.047192 0.057754 0.070240 0.084482 0.100115 0.118459
2025-04-13 0.034819 0.045377 0.057399 0.071923 0.088814 0.107670 0.130136
2025-04-20 0.031106 0.042224 0.055209 0.071237 0.090234 0.111787 0.137840
2025-04-27 0.028474 0.040131 0.054063 0.071593 0.092718 0.117025 0.146770
2025-05-04 0.026668 0.038890 0.053803 0.072891 0.096225 0.123400 0.157006
2025-05-11 0.025503 0.038349 0.054316 0.075058 0.100735 0.130947 0.168641
2025-05-18 0.022394 0.035064 0.051195 0.072555 0.099417 0.131433 0.171820
2025-05-25 0.020477 0.033222 0.049792 0.072094 0.100514 0.134754 0.178338
2025-06-01 0.018751 0.031517 0.048459 0.071624 0.101522 0.137911 0.184626
2025-06-08 0.018149 0.031380 0.049227 0.073931 0.106130 0.145626 0.196657
2025-06-15 0.017214 0.030703 0.049224 0.075204 0.109421 0.151737 0.206785
2025-06-22 0.016229 0.029884 0.048977 0.076116 0.112231 0.157259 0.216224
2025-06-29 0.014961 0.028555 0.047946 0.075914 0.113553 0.160890 0.223318
2025-07-06 0.014402 0.028268 0.048357 0.077656 0.117423 0.167763 0.234502
2025-07-13 0.013148 0.026806 0.047011 0.076916 0.117959 0.170357 0.240302
2025-07-20 0.012308 0.025946 0.046489 0.077281 0.119942 0.174797 0.248439
2025-07-27 0.011802 0.025595 0.046690 0.078643 0.123259 0.180963 0.258791
2025-08-03 0.011567 0.025680 0.047536 0.080925 0.127837 0.188796 0.271321
2025-08-10 0.010131 0.023607 0.045015 0.078285 0.125619 0.187700 0.272359
2025-08-17 0.009317 0.022556 0.044011 0.077797 0.126324 0.190415 0.278294